F. Diaz Acosta vs A. Moro Canas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. Diaz AcostaA. Moro Canas
70.1 %29.9 %
Model favourite
F. Diaz Acosta
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · F. Diaz Acosta

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

Men's ChallengerSevilleRound of 16clay18:05
vs
2147
Elo
1934
2163
Elo on clay
1896
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.32
Odds
3.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Diaz Acosta
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
A. Moro Canas
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
16 – 10
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
45-16 (74%)
2026 record
27-25 (52%)
154-78 (66%)
Record on clay
66-72 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Diaz Acosta and A. Moro Canas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Diaz Acosta comes in with an Elo of 2147, against 1934 for A. Moro Canas: a 213-point edge. On clay, the gap is 267 points in favour of F. Diaz Acosta. F. Diaz Acosta won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Moro Canas won 5. F. Diaz Acosta has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Moro Canas has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Diaz Acosta the favourite.

The model gave F. Diaz Acosta the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Diaz Acosta won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Diaz Acosta's last five matches

A. Moro Canas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Diaz Acosta beat P. Martin Tiffon (6-3 2-6 6-2). To reach this round, A. Moro Canas beat P. Brunclik (4-6 6-3 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Buse, who beat G. A. Olivieri in the final (6-3 3-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Diaz Acosta wins 54 % (55 of 102), A. Moro Canas 44 % (47 of 106). In deciding sets, F. Diaz Acosta wins 54 % of the time (101 matches), A. Moro Canas 51 % (98 matches). After losing the first set, F. Diaz Acosta turned 29 % of matches around (107 occasions), A. Moro Canas 25 % (125 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Diaz Acosta went on to win 82 % of matches, A. Moro Canas 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Diaz Acosta – A. Moro Canas

Who is the favourite between F. Diaz Acosta and A. Moro Canas?
The match is over: F. Diaz Acosta won 2-0. Bookmakers make F. Diaz Acosta the favourite, priced at 1.32 against 3.18 for A. Moro Canas. Pronocast's model had F. Diaz Acosta winning at 70 %.
When is the F. Diaz Acosta – A. Moro Canas match?
On Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at 18:05, at the Seville tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Diaz Acosta and A. Moro Canas?
No meeting between F. Diaz Acosta and A. Moro Canas appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Diaz Acosta – A. Moro Canas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seville

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 September 2026

All matches on 9 September 2026