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G. I. Justo vs P. Sakamoto prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
G. I. JustoP. Sakamoto
64.0 %36.0 %
Model favourite
G. I. Justo
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · G. I. Justo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaRound of 16clay22:15
G. I. Justo
G. I. Justo
vs
P. Sakamoto
P. Sakamoto
1920
Elo
1759
1925
Elo on clay
1697
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
10
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.47
Odds
2.65

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. I. Justo
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
P. Sakamoto
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
10 – 11
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
37-23 (62%)
2026 record
11-13 (46%)
81-58 (58%)
Record on clay
70-71 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. I. Justo and P. Sakamoto, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. I. Justo comes in with an Elo of 1920, against 1759 for P. Sakamoto: a 161-point edge. On clay, the gap is 228 points in favour of G. I. Justo. G. I. Justo won 5 of the last ten matches, P. Sakamoto won 8. G. I. Justo has 2 wins in the last five matches. P. Sakamoto has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make G. I. Justo the favourite.

The model gave G. I. Justo the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. I. Justo won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

G. I. Justo's last five matches

P. Sakamoto's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, G. I. Justo beat F. Roncadelli (7-6 6-2). To reach this round, P. Sakamoto beat V. Goncalves (6-4 6-2), then S. De La Fuente (2-6 6-2 7-6), then E. Ribeiro (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. I. Justo wins 51 % (19 of 37), P. Sakamoto 64 % (28 of 44). In deciding sets, G. I. Justo wins 48 % of the time (42 matches), P. Sakamoto 48 % (54 matches). After losing the first set, G. I. Justo turned 16 % of matches around (63 occasions), P. Sakamoto 20 % (75 occasions). After winning the first set, G. I. Justo went on to win 93 % of matches, P. Sakamoto 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. I. Justo – P. Sakamoto

Who is the favourite between G. I. Justo and P. Sakamoto?
The match is over: G. I. Justo won 2-0. Bookmakers make G. I. Justo the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.65 for P. Sakamoto. Pronocast's model had G. I. Justo winning at 64 %.
When is the G. I. Justo – P. Sakamoto match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 22:15, at the Curitiba tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between G. I. Justo and P. Sakamoto?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for G. I. Justo – P. Sakamoto?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026