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M. Basing vs E. Butvilas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. BasingE. Butvilas
40.1 %59.9 %
Model favourite
E. Butvilas
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · M. Basing

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerIstanbulQuarter-finalhard court10:10
M. Basing
M. Basing
vs
E. Butvilas
E. Butvilas
1880
Elo
1964
1846
Elo on hard court
1956
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Basing
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
E. Butvilas
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
8 – 2
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
17 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
13-10 (57%)
2026 record
31-23 (57%)
21-11 (66%)
Record on hard court
59-42 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Basing and E. Butvilas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Butvilas comes in with an Elo of 1964, against 1880 for M. Basing: a 84-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 111 points in favour of E. Butvilas. M. Basing won 6 of the last ten matches, E. Butvilas won 8. M. Basing has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Butvilas has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave E. Butvilas the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Basing won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Basing's last five matches

E. Butvilas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Basing beat A. Karahan (6-1 6-0), then M. Alkaya (6-4 7-5). To reach this round, E. Butvilas beat G. Ghetu (7-5 6-2), then M. Tobon (7-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Molcan, who beat N. Mejia in the final (7-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Basing wins 63 % (12 of 19), E. Butvilas 54 % (34 of 63). In deciding sets, M. Basing wins 65 % of the time (20 matches), E. Butvilas 45 % (76 matches). After losing the first set, M. Basing turned 35 % of matches around (17 occasions), E. Butvilas 21 % (76 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Basing went on to win 81 % of matches, E. Butvilas 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Basing – E. Butvilas

Who is the favourite between M. Basing and E. Butvilas?
The match is over: M. Basing won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had E. Butvilas winning at 60 %.
When is the M. Basing – E. Butvilas match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 10:10, at the Istanbul tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Basing and E. Butvilas?
No meeting between M. Basing and E. Butvilas appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Basing – E. Butvilas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Istanbul

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026