Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

J. Duckworth vs L. Sonego prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. DuckworthL. Sonego
43.4 %56.6 %
Model favourite
L. Sonego
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · L. Sonego

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduRound of 32hard court09:40
J. Duckworth
J. Duckworth
vs
L. Sonego
L. Sonego
2077
Elo
2067
2016
Elo on hard court
2016
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.15
Odds
1.67

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Duckworth
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
L. Sonego
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
11 – 14
2 losses
Current streak
3 losses
25-23 (52%)
2026 record
12-18 (40%)
168-112 (60%)
Record on hard court
78-86 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Duckworth and L. Sonego, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2077 against 2067): nothing separates them in the model's rating. J. Duckworth won 6 of the last ten matches, L. Sonego won 4. J. Duckworth has 3 wins in the last five matches. L. Sonego has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, L. Sonego leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make L. Sonego the favourite.

The model gave L. Sonego the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Sonego won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Duckworth's last five matches

L. Sonego's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

L. Sonego leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is J. Duckworth's first match of the tournament. This is L. Sonego's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Duckworth wins 50 % (96 of 191), L. Sonego 53 % (78 of 147). In deciding sets, J. Duckworth wins 55 % of the time (130 matches), L. Sonego 46 % (101 matches). After losing the first set, J. Duckworth turned 25 % of matches around (170 occasions), L. Sonego 21 % (147 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Duckworth went on to win 86 % of matches, L. Sonego 75 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Duckworth – L. Sonego

Who is the favourite between J. Duckworth and L. Sonego?
The match is over: L. Sonego won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Sonego the favourite, priced at 1.67 against 2.15 for J. Duckworth. Pronocast's model had L. Sonego winning at 57 %.
When is the J. Duckworth – L. Sonego match?
On Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 09:40, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Duckworth and L. Sonego?
Since 2020, L. Sonego leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Duckworth – L. Sonego?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 24 September 2026

All matches on 24 September 2026