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J. M. Cerundolo vs Y. Bu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. M. CerundoloY. Bu
39.4 %60.6 %
Model favourite
Y. Bu
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · Y. Bu

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 32hard court09:20
J. M. Cerundolo
J. M. Cerundolo
vs
Y. Bu
Y. Bu
2164
Elo
2132
1953
Elo on hard court
2038
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.40
Odds
1.57

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. M. Cerundolo
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
Y. Bu
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 12
Sets won – lost
13 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
32-22 (59%)
2026 record
32-18 (64%)
26-34 (43%)
Record on hard court
115-76 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. M. Cerundolo and Y. Bu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. M. Cerundolo comes in with an Elo of 2164, against 2132 for Y. Bu: a 32-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 85 points in favour of Y. Bu. J. M. Cerundolo won 5 of the last ten matches, Y. Bu won 5. J. M. Cerundolo has 2 wins in the last five matches. Y. Bu has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, Y. Bu leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make Y. Bu the favourite.

The model gave Y. Bu the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Bu won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. M. Cerundolo's last five matches

Y. Bu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Y. Bu leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is J. M. Cerundolo's first match of the tournament. This is Y. Bu's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. M. Cerundolo wins 61 % (61 of 100), Y. Bu 45 % (50 of 110). In deciding sets, J. M. Cerundolo wins 63 % of the time (116 matches), Y. Bu 48 % (71 matches). After losing the first set, J. M. Cerundolo turned 25 % of matches around (148 occasions), Y. Bu 19 % (95 occasions). After winning the first set, J. M. Cerundolo went on to win 89 % of matches, Y. Bu 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. M. Cerundolo – Y. Bu

Who is the favourite between J. M. Cerundolo and Y. Bu?
The match is over: Y. Bu won 2-1. Bookmakers make Y. Bu the favourite, priced at 1.57 against 2.40 for J. M. Cerundolo. Pronocast's model had Y. Bu winning at 61 %.
When is the J. M. Cerundolo – Y. Bu match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 09:20, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. M. Cerundolo and Y. Bu?
Since 2020, Y. Bu leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. M. Cerundolo – Y. Bu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026