Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

J. Mensik vs B. Nakashima prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. MensikB. Nakashima
56.1 %43.9 %
Model favourite
J. Mensik
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · B. Nakashima

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Laver Cuphard court16:45Time to be confirmed
J. Mensik
J. Mensik
vs
B. Nakashima
B. Nakashima
2285
Elo
2316
2200
Elo on hard court
2215
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.75
Odds
2.07

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Mensik
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
B. Nakashima
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
17 – 12
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
33-17 (66%)
2026 record
32-18 (64%)
89-47 (65%)
Record on hard court
157-98 (62%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Mensik and B. Nakashima, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Nakashima comes in with an Elo of 2316, against 2285 for J. Mensik: a 31-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 15 points in favour of B. Nakashima. J. Mensik won 6 of the last ten matches, B. Nakashima won 7. J. Mensik has 3 wins in the last five matches. B. Nakashima has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. Mensik leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite.

The model gave J. Mensik the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Nakashima won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Mensik's last five matches

B. Nakashima's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Mensik leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is J. Mensik's first match of the tournament. This is B. Nakashima's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Mensik wins 59 % (66 of 111), B. Nakashima 53 % (116 of 220). In deciding sets, J. Mensik wins 52 % of the time (88 matches), B. Nakashima 51 % (122 matches). After losing the first set, J. Mensik turned 21 % of matches around (75 occasions), B. Nakashima 22 % (146 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Mensik went on to win 83 % of matches, B. Nakashima 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Mensik – B. Nakashima

Who is the favourite between J. Mensik and B. Nakashima?
The match is over: B. Nakashima won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite, priced at 1.75 against 2.07 for B. Nakashima. Pronocast's model had J. Mensik winning at 56 %.
When is the J. Mensik – B. Nakashima match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026, at the ATP Laver Cup tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between J. Mensik and B. Nakashima?
Since 2020, J. Mensik leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Mensik – B. Nakashima?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: ATP Laver Cup

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026