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J. Shang vs A. Mannarino prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. ShangA. Mannarino
68.3 %31.7 %
Model favourite
J. Shang
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · A. Mannarino

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduRound of 32hard court11:00
J. Shang
J. Shang
vs
A. Mannarino
A. Mannarino
2087
Elo
2005
1953
Elo on hard court
1932
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.40
Odds
2.82

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Shang
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
A. Mannarino
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
3 – 7
11 – 18
Sets won – lost
8 – 17
3 losses
Current streak
1 loss
5-8 (38%)
2026 record
16-29 (36%)
82-54 (60%)
Record on hard court
97-111 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Shang and A. Mannarino, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Shang comes in with an Elo of 2087, against 2005 for A. Mannarino: a 82-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 21 points in favour of J. Shang. J. Shang won 3 of the last ten matches, A. Mannarino won 3. J. Shang has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Mannarino has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Mannarino leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Shang the favourite.

The model gave J. Shang the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Mannarino won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Shang's last five matches

A. Mannarino's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Mannarino leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is J. Shang's first match of the tournament. This is A. Mannarino's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Shang wins 54 % (54 of 100), A. Mannarino 44 % (58 of 132). In deciding sets, J. Shang wins 58 % of the time (83 matches), A. Mannarino 50 % (103 matches). After losing the first set, J. Shang turned 26 % of matches around (72 occasions), A. Mannarino 20 % (181 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Shang went on to win 79 % of matches, A. Mannarino 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Shang – A. Mannarino

Who is the favourite between J. Shang and A. Mannarino?
The match is over: A. Mannarino won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Shang the favourite, priced at 1.40 against 2.82 for A. Mannarino. Pronocast's model had J. Shang winning at 68 %.
When is the J. Shang – A. Mannarino match?
On Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 11:00, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Shang and A. Mannarino?
Since 2020, A. Mannarino leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Shang – A. Mannarino?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 24 September 2026

All matches on 24 September 2026