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K. Khachanov vs F. Auger-Aliassime prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
K. KhachanovF. Auger-Aliassime
42.1 %57.9 %
Model favourite
F. Auger-Aliassime
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · K. Khachanov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 32hard court05:10
K. Khachanov
K. Khachanov
vs
F. Auger-Aliassime
F. Auger-Aliassime
2200
Elo
2353
2086
Elo on hard court
2251
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.14
Odds
1.56

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Khachanov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
F. Auger-Aliassime
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
18 – 15
Sets won – lost
20 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
20-19 (51%)
2026 record
34-15 (69%)
112-80 (58%)
Record on hard court
152-78 (66%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Khachanov and F. Auger-Aliassime, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Auger-Aliassime comes in with an Elo of 2353, against 2200 for K. Khachanov: a 154-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 165 points in favour of F. Auger-Aliassime. K. Khachanov won 5 of the last ten matches, F. Auger-Aliassime won 7. K. Khachanov has 4 wins in the last five matches. F. Auger-Aliassime has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each. Bookmakers make F. Auger-Aliassime the favourite.

The model gave F. Auger-Aliassime the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Khachanov won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

K. Khachanov's last five matches

F. Auger-Aliassime's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 2 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is K. Khachanov's first match of the tournament. This is F. Auger-Aliassime's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Khachanov wins 51 % (75 of 147), F. Auger-Aliassime 61 % (126 of 208). In deciding sets, K. Khachanov wins 52 % of the time (110 matches), F. Auger-Aliassime 62 % (108 matches). After losing the first set, K. Khachanov turned 31 % of matches around (124 occasions), F. Auger-Aliassime 32 % (146 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Khachanov went on to win 81 % of matches, F. Auger-Aliassime 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Khachanov – F. Auger-Aliassime

Who is the favourite between K. Khachanov and F. Auger-Aliassime?
The match is over: K. Khachanov won 2-0. Bookmakers make F. Auger-Aliassime the favourite, priced at 1.56 against 2.14 for K. Khachanov. Pronocast's model had F. Auger-Aliassime winning at 58 %.
When is the K. Khachanov – F. Auger-Aliassime match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 05:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Khachanov and F. Auger-Aliassime?
Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Khachanov – F. Auger-Aliassime?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026