M. Basing vs M. Alkaya prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. BasingM. Alkaya
59.0 %41.0 %
Model favourite
M. Basing
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Basing

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

Men's ChallengerIstanbulRound of 16hard court09:05
M. Basing
M. Basing
vs
M. Alkaya
M. Alkaya
1880
Elo
1820
1846
Elo on hard court
1824
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Basing
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Alkaya
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
13 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
12-10 (55%)
2026 record
14-15 (48%)
20-11 (65%)
Record on hard court
19-14 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Basing and M. Alkaya, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Basing comes in with an Elo of 1880, against 1820 for M. Alkaya: a 60-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 21 points in favour of M. Basing. M. Basing won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Alkaya won 6. M. Basing has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Alkaya has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Basing the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Basing won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Basing's last five matches

M. Alkaya's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Basing beat A. Karahan (6-1 6-0). To reach this round, M. Alkaya beat T. Torres (6-3 4-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Molcan, who beat N. Mejia in the final (7-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Basing wins 63 % (12 of 19), M. Alkaya 29 % (4 of 14). In deciding sets, M. Basing wins 65 % of the time (20 matches), M. Alkaya 56 % (16 matches). After losing the first set, M. Basing turned 35 % of matches around (17 occasions), M. Alkaya 26 % (19 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Basing went on to win 80 % of matches, M. Alkaya 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Basing – M. Alkaya

Who is the favourite between M. Basing and M. Alkaya?
The match is over: M. Basing won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Basing winning at 59 %.
When is the M. Basing – M. Alkaya match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 09:05, at the Istanbul tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Basing and M. Alkaya?
No meeting between M. Basing and M. Alkaya appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Basing – M. Alkaya?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Istanbul

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026