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M. Kasnikowski vs J. D. Hara Friend prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. KasnikowskiJ. D. Hara Friend
51.0 %49.0 %
Model favourite
M. Kasnikowski
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · J. D. Hara Friend

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerIstanbulSemi-finalhard court11:45
M. Kasnikowski
M. Kasnikowski
vs
JD
J. D. Hara Friend
1963
Elo
2000
1868
Elo on hard court
1961
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
5
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.84
Odds
1.87

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Kasnikowski
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
J. D. Hara Friend
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 13
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
34-22 (61%)
2026 record
21-11 (66%)
59-44 (57%)
Record on hard court
31-15 (67%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Kasnikowski and J. D. Hara Friend, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. D. Hara Friend comes in with an Elo of 2000, against 1963 for M. Kasnikowski: a 37-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 93 points in favour of J. D. Hara Friend. M. Kasnikowski won 5 of the last ten matches, J. D. Hara Friend won 7. M. Kasnikowski has 4 wins in the last five matches. J. D. Hara Friend has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Kasnikowski the favourite.

The model gave M. Kasnikowski the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. D. Hara Friend won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Kasnikowski's last five matches

J. D. Hara Friend's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Kasnikowski beat I. Marrero Curbelo (4-6 7-5 6-0), then C. Langmo (6-3 7-6), then F. Maestrelli (6-0 2-6 6-1). To reach this round, J. D. Hara Friend beat M. Ribecai (2-6 6-4 6-4), then S. Hamza Reguig (6-2 6-1), then Y. Erel (3-6 6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Molcan, who beat N. Mejia in the final (7-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Kasnikowski wins 50 % (45 of 90), J. D. Hara Friend 65 % (11 of 17). In deciding sets, M. Kasnikowski wins 48 % of the time (82 matches), J. D. Hara Friend 70 % (20 matches). After losing the first set, M. Kasnikowski turned 27 % of matches around (86 occasions), J. D. Hara Friend 38 % (21 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Kasnikowski went on to win 76 % of matches, J. D. Hara Friend 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Kasnikowski – J. D. Hara Friend

Who is the favourite between M. Kasnikowski and J. D. Hara Friend?
The match is over: J. D. Hara Friend won 2-0. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: M. Kasnikowski is priced at 1.84, J. D. Hara Friend at 1.87. Pronocast's model had M. Kasnikowski winning at 51 %.
When is the M. Kasnikowski – J. D. Hara Friend match?
On Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 11:45, at the Istanbul tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Kasnikowski and J. D. Hara Friend?
No meeting between M. Kasnikowski and J. D. Hara Friend appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Kasnikowski – J. D. Hara Friend?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Istanbul

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 September 2026

All matches on 12 September 2026