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Y. Erel vs J. D. Hara Friend prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
Y. ErelJ. D. Hara Friend
40.9 %59.1 %
Model favourite
J. D. Hara Friend
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · J. D. Hara Friend

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerIstanbulQuarter-finalhard court11:30
Y. Erel
Y. Erel
vs
JD
J. D. Hara Friend
1905
Elo
1979
1903
Elo on hard court
1934
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
6
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Erel
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
J. D. Hara Friend
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
14 – 9
3 wins
Current streak
2 wins
14-7 (67%)
2026 record
20-11 (65%)
34-25 (58%)
Record on hard court
30-15 (67%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Erel and J. D. Hara Friend, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. D. Hara Friend comes in with an Elo of 1979, against 1905 for Y. Erel: a 73-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 31 points in favour of J. D. Hara Friend. Y. Erel won 7 of the last ten matches, J. D. Hara Friend won 7. Y. Erel has 4 wins in the last five matches. J. D. Hara Friend has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave J. D. Hara Friend the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. D. Hara Friend won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

Y. Erel's last five matches

J. D. Hara Friend's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Y. Erel beat T. Skatov (7-6 6-4), then R. Albot (6-4 6-2). To reach this round, J. D. Hara Friend beat M. Ribecai (2-6 6-4 6-4), then S. Hamza Reguig (6-2 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Molcan, who beat N. Mejia in the final (7-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Erel wins 49 % (17 of 35), J. D. Hara Friend 65 % (11 of 17). In deciding sets, Y. Erel wins 46 % of the time (28 matches), J. D. Hara Friend 68 % (19 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Erel turned 17 % of matches around (36 occasions), J. D. Hara Friend 35 % (20 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Erel went on to win 79 % of matches, J. D. Hara Friend 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Erel – J. D. Hara Friend

Who is the favourite between Y. Erel and J. D. Hara Friend?
The match is over: J. D. Hara Friend won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had J. D. Hara Friend winning at 59 %.
When is the Y. Erel – J. D. Hara Friend match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 11:30, at the Istanbul tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Y. Erel and J. D. Hara Friend?
No meeting between Y. Erel and J. D. Hara Friend appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Erel – J. D. Hara Friend?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Istanbul

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026