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M. Bellucci vs L. Harris prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. BellucciL. Harris
42.1 %57.9 %
Model favourite
L. Harris
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · L. Harris

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanFinalhard court05:15
M. Bellucci
M. Bellucci
vs
L. Harris
L. Harris
2129
Elo
2200
2032
Elo on hard court
2149
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
5
Recent matches
8
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Bellucci
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Harris
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
8 – 2
16 – 8
Sets won – lost
17 – 5
5 wins
Current streak
3 wins
32-26 (55%)
2026 record
35-13 (73%)
113-83 (58%)
Record on hard court
100-59 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Bellucci and L. Harris, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Harris comes in with an Elo of 2200, against 2129 for M. Bellucci: a 70-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 117 points in favour of L. Harris. M. Bellucci won 6 of the last ten matches, L. Harris won 8. M. Bellucci has 5 wins in the last five matches. L. Harris has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Bellucci leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave L. Harris the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Harris won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Bellucci's last five matches

L. Harris's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Bellucci leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Bellucci beat F. Peliwo (6-2 6-4), then K. Saitoh (6-2 6-2), then A. Muller (6-0 6-3), then A. Walton (7-5 6-2), then Y. Erel (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, L. Harris beat A. Galarneau (6-2 6-3), then L. Pavlovic (6-2 6-3), then A. Ilagan (7-5 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Bellucci wins 53 % (60 of 113), L. Harris 43 % (51 of 118). In deciding sets, M. Bellucci wins 49 % of the time (70 matches), L. Harris 61 % (67 matches). After losing the first set, M. Bellucci turned 13 % of matches around (116 occasions), L. Harris 24 % (95 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Bellucci went on to win 84 % of matches, L. Harris 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Bellucci – L. Harris

Who is the favourite between M. Bellucci and L. Harris?
The match is over: L. Harris won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had L. Harris winning at 58 %.
When is the M. Bellucci – L. Harris match?
On Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 05:15, at the Jingshan tournament (Final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Bellucci and L. Harris?
Since 2020, M. Bellucci leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Bellucci – L. Harris?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 4 October 2026

All matches on 4 October 2026