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L. Harris vs A. Bolt prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. HarrisA. Bolt
80.9 %19.1 %
Model favourite
L. Harris
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-1 · L. Harris

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanSemi-finalhard court05:05
L. Harris
L. Harris
vs
A. Bolt
A. Bolt
2191
Elo
1932
2139
Elo on hard court
1893
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
7
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Harris
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. Bolt
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 5
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
35-13 (73%)
2026 record
22-21 (51%)
100-59 (63%)
Record on hard court
83-81 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Harris and A. Bolt, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Harris comes in with an Elo of 2191, against 1932 for A. Bolt: a 260-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 245 points in favour of L. Harris. L. Harris won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Bolt won 5. L. Harris has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Bolt has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave L. Harris the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Harris won 1-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Harris's last five matches

A. Bolt's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Harris beat A. Galarneau (6-2 6-3), then L. Pavlovic (6-2 6-3), then A. Ilagan (7-5 6-1). To reach this round, A. Bolt beat S. Pankin (6-3 6-2), then E. Zhu (6-7 6-4 6-2), then D. Sweeny (6-3 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Harris wins 43 % (51 of 118), A. Bolt 56 % (61 of 109). In deciding sets, L. Harris wins 61 % of the time (67 matches), A. Bolt 49 % (70 matches). After losing the first set, L. Harris turned 24 % of matches around (95 occasions), A. Bolt 17 % (109 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Harris went on to win 85 % of matches, A. Bolt 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Harris – A. Bolt

Who is the favourite between L. Harris and A. Bolt?
The match is over: L. Harris won 1-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had L. Harris winning at 81 %.
When is the L. Harris – A. Bolt match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 05:05, at the Jingshan tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Harris and A. Bolt?
No meeting between L. Harris and A. Bolt appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Harris – A. Bolt?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026