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Y. Erel vs F. Cina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
Y. ErelF. Cina
38.7 %61.3 %
Model favourite
F. Cina
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · Y. Erel

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanQuarter-finalhard court10:40
Y. Erel
Y. Erel
vs
F. Cina
F. Cina
1937
Elo
1987
1937
Elo on hard court
1910
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Erel
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
F. Cina
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 8
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
16-9 (64%)
2026 record
32-23 (58%)
36-26 (58%)
Record on hard court
38-28 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Erel and F. Cina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Cina comes in with an Elo of 1987, against 1937 for Y. Erel: a 49-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 27 points in favour of Y. Erel. Y. Erel won 7 of the last ten matches, F. Cina won 5. Y. Erel has 3 wins in the last five matches. F. Cina has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave F. Cina the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Erel won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

Y. Erel's last five matches

F. Cina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Y. Erel beat A. Weber (6-4 6-2), then M. Zheng (6-1 7-6). To reach this round, F. Cina beat J. McCabe (6-2 6-3), then E. Ymer (3-6 6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Erel wins 50 % (18 of 36), F. Cina 45 % (17 of 38). In deciding sets, Y. Erel wins 45 % of the time (29 matches), F. Cina 50 % (36 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Erel turned 16 % of matches around (37 occasions), F. Cina 15 % (53 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Erel went on to win 78 % of matches, F. Cina 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Erel – F. Cina

Who is the favourite between Y. Erel and F. Cina?
The match is over: Y. Erel won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had F. Cina winning at 61 %.
When is the Y. Erel – F. Cina match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 10:40, at the Jingshan tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Y. Erel and F. Cina?
No meeting between Y. Erel and F. Cina appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Erel – F. Cina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026