L. Harris vs A. Ilagan prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. HarrisA. Ilagan
79.9 %20.1 %
Model favourite
L. Harris
Probability
80 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · L. Harris

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanQuarter-finalhard court07:20
L. Harris
L. Harris
vs
A. Ilagan
A. Ilagan
2191
Elo
1965
2139
Elo on hard court
1923
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
7
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.17
Odds
4.03

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Harris
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
A. Ilagan
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 8
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
34-13 (72%)
2026 record
30-22 (58%)
99-59 (63%)
Record on hard court
75-64 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Harris and A. Ilagan, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Harris comes in with an Elo of 2191, against 1965 for A. Ilagan: a 226-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 216 points in favour of L. Harris. L. Harris won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Ilagan won 6. L. Harris has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Ilagan has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, L. Harris leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make L. Harris the favourite.

The model gave L. Harris the win at 80 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Harris won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Harris's last five matches

A. Ilagan's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

L. Harris leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Harris beat A. Galarneau (6-2 6-3), then L. Pavlovic (6-2 6-3). To reach this round, A. Ilagan beat M. Dellavedova (6-4 6-3), then M. Sharipov (6-2 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Harris wins 43 % (51 of 118), A. Ilagan 42 % (26 of 62). In deciding sets, L. Harris wins 61 % of the time (67 matches), A. Ilagan 52 % (52 matches). After losing the first set, L. Harris turned 24 % of matches around (95 occasions), A. Ilagan 24 % (68 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Harris went on to win 85 % of matches, A. Ilagan 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Harris – A. Ilagan

Who is the favourite between L. Harris and A. Ilagan?
The match is over: L. Harris won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Harris the favourite, priced at 1.17 against 4.03 for A. Ilagan. Pronocast's model had L. Harris winning at 80 %.
When is the L. Harris – A. Ilagan match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 07:20, at the Jingshan tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Harris and A. Ilagan?
Since 2020, L. Harris leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Harris – A. Ilagan?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026