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B. Tomic vs M. Bellucci prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Result not verified
B. TomicM. Bellucci
28.1 %71.9 %
Model favourite
M. Bellucci
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
M. Bellucci

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanhard court10:30Time to be confirmed
B. Tomic
B. Tomic
vs
M. Bellucci
M. Bellucci
1968
Elo
2129
1935
Elo on hard court
2032
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Tomic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Bellucci
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 9
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
2 wins
Current streak
4 wins
30-22 (58%)
2026 record
31-26 (54%)
98-78 (56%)
Record on hard court
112-83 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Tomic and M. Bellucci, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Bellucci comes in with an Elo of 2129, against 1968 for B. Tomic: a 162-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 97 points in favour of M. Bellucci. B. Tomic won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Bellucci won 6. B. Tomic has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Bellucci has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Bellucci the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Bellucci won : prediction missed.

Recent matches

B. Tomic's last five matches

M. Bellucci's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Tomic beat F. Sun (6-4 6-7 6-3), then Y. Shimizu (5-7 6-2 7-6). To reach this round, M. Bellucci beat F. Peliwo (6-2 6-4), then K. Saitoh (6-2 6-2), then A. Muller (6-0 6-3), then A. Walton (7-5 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Tomic wins 54 % (55 of 101), M. Bellucci 53 % (60 of 113). In deciding sets, B. Tomic wins 60 % of the time (97 matches), M. Bellucci 49 % (70 matches). After losing the first set, B. Tomic turned 28 % of matches around (116 occasions), M. Bellucci 13 % (116 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Tomic went on to win 83 % of matches, M. Bellucci 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Tomic – M. Bellucci

Who is the favourite between B. Tomic and M. Bellucci?
The match is over: M. Bellucci won. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Bellucci winning at 72 %.
When is the B. Tomic – M. Bellucci match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026, at the Jingshan tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between B. Tomic and M. Bellucci?
No meeting between B. Tomic and M. Bellucci appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Tomic – M. Bellucci?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026