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M. Sharipov vs D. Svrcina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. SharipovD. Svrcina
50.7 %49.3 %
Model favourite
M. Sharipov
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Sharipov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 32hard court06:45
M. Sharipov
M. Sharipov
vs
D. Svrcina
D. Svrcina
2020
Elo
2048
2055
Elo on hard court
1994
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
6
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.85
Odds
1.83

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Sharipov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
D. Svrcina
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
9 – 1
Wins – losses
6 – 4
19 – 3
Sets won – lost
15 – 12
7 wins
Current streak
1 loss
27-11 (71%)
2026 record
29-24 (55%)
51-21 (71%)
Record on hard court
75-63 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Sharipov and D. Svrcina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Svrcina comes in with an Elo of 2048, against 2020 for M. Sharipov: a 27-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 60 points in favour of M. Sharipov. M. Sharipov won 9 of the last ten matches, D. Svrcina won 6. M. Sharipov has 5 wins in the last five matches. D. Svrcina has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Svrcina the favourite.

The model gave M. Sharipov the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Sharipov won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Sharipov's last five matches

D. Svrcina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Sharipov beat N. Honda (7-6 6-2), then W. K. Leong M. (6-2 6-3). This is D. Svrcina's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Sharipov wins 57 % (17 of 30), D. Svrcina 46 % (32 of 69). In deciding sets, M. Sharipov wins 61 % of the time (28 matches), D. Svrcina 53 % (95 matches). After losing the first set, M. Sharipov turned 22 % of matches around (36 occasions), D. Svrcina 18 % (134 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Sharipov went on to win 89 % of matches, D. Svrcina 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Sharipov – D. Svrcina

Who is the favourite between M. Sharipov and D. Svrcina?
The match is over: M. Sharipov won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: M. Sharipov is priced at 1.85, D. Svrcina at 1.83. Pronocast's model had M. Sharipov winning at 51 %.
When is the M. Sharipov – D. Svrcina match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 06:45, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Sharipov and D. Svrcina?
No meeting between M. Sharipov and D. Svrcina appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Sharipov – D. Svrcina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026