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M. Sharipov vs L. Harris prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. SharipovL. Harris
31.7 %68.3 %
Model favourite
L. Harris
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · M. Sharipov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Round of 16hard court13:50
M. Sharipov
M. Sharipov
vs
L. Harris
L. Harris
1945
Elo
2164
1971
Elo on hard court
2117
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
6
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.81
Odds
1.38

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Sharipov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
L. Harris
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
8 – 2
16 – 7
Sets won – lost
18 – 8
1 win
Current streak
1 win
21-11 (66%)
2026 record
28-11 (72%)
45-21 (68%)
Record on hard court
93-57 (62%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Sharipov and L. Harris, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Harris comes in with an Elo of 2164, against 1945 for M. Sharipov: a 218-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 145 points in favour of L. Harris. M. Sharipov won 8 of the last ten matches, L. Harris won 8. M. Sharipov has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Harris has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Harris the favourite.

The model gave L. Harris the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Sharipov won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Sharipov's last five matches

L. Harris's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Sharipov beat T. J. Fancutt (6-2 6-3). To reach this round, L. Harris beat H. Matsuoka (6-7 7-5 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Sharipov wins 52 % (14 of 27), L. Harris 43 % (50 of 115). In deciding sets, M. Sharipov wins 59 % of the time (27 matches), L. Harris 62 % (66 matches). After losing the first set, M. Sharipov turned 20 % of matches around (35 occasions), L. Harris 24 % (94 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Sharipov went on to win 88 % of matches, L. Harris 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Sharipov – L. Harris

Who is the favourite between M. Sharipov and L. Harris?
The match is over: M. Sharipov won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Harris the favourite, priced at 1.38 against 2.81 for M. Sharipov. Pronocast's model had L. Harris winning at 68 %.
When is the M. Sharipov – L. Harris match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 13:50, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Sharipov and L. Harris?
No meeting between M. Sharipov and L. Harris appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Sharipov – L. Harris?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026