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M. Tobon vs E. Butvilas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. TobonE. Butvilas
30.2 %69.8 %
Model favourite
E. Butvilas
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · E. Butvilas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

Men's ChallengerIstanbulRound of 16hard court09:05
M. Tobon
M. Tobon
vs
E. Butvilas
E. Butvilas
1773
Elo
1964
1708
Elo on hard court
1956
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Tobon
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
E. Butvilas
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
8 – 2
11 – 13
Sets won – lost
17 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
20-17 (54%)
2026 record
30-23 (57%)
11-11 (50%)
Record on hard court
58-42 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Tobon and E. Butvilas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Butvilas comes in with an Elo of 1964, against 1773 for M. Tobon: a 190-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 248 points in favour of E. Butvilas. M. Tobon won 4 of the last ten matches, E. Butvilas won 8. M. Tobon has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Butvilas has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave E. Butvilas the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Butvilas won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Tobon's last five matches

E. Butvilas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Tobon beat K. Kirci (6-3 6-3). To reach this round, E. Butvilas beat G. Ghetu (7-5 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Molcan, who beat N. Mejia in the final (7-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Tobon wins 52 % (17 of 33), E. Butvilas 53 % (33 of 62). In deciding sets, M. Tobon wins 42 % of the time (26 matches), E. Butvilas 45 % (76 matches). After losing the first set, M. Tobon turned 19 % of matches around (37 occasions), E. Butvilas 21 % (76 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Tobon went on to win 76 % of matches, E. Butvilas 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Tobon – E. Butvilas

Who is the favourite between M. Tobon and E. Butvilas?
The match is over: E. Butvilas won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had E. Butvilas winning at 70 %.
When is the M. Tobon – E. Butvilas match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 09:05, at the Istanbul tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Tobon and E. Butvilas?
No meeting between M. Tobon and E. Butvilas appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Tobon – E. Butvilas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Istanbul

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026