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N. Borges vs N. Djokovic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
N. BorgesN. Djokovic
32.0 %68.0 %
Model favourite
N. Djokovic
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · N. Djokovic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 32hard court13:10
N. Borges
N. Borges
vs
N. Djokovic
N. Djokovic
2193
Elo
2438
2079
Elo on hard court
2330
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.97
Odds
1.39

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

N. Borges
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
N. Djokovic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 9
Sets won – lost
23 – 17
1 win
Current streak
3 losses
27-26 (51%)
2026 record
13-7 (65%)
94-71 (57%)
Record on hard court
113-22 (84%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by N. Borges and N. Djokovic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

N. Djokovic comes in with an Elo of 2438, against 2193 for N. Borges: a 245-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 251 points in favour of N. Djokovic. N. Borges won 7 of the last ten matches, N. Djokovic won 6. N. Borges has 3 wins in the last five matches. N. Djokovic has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, N. Djokovic leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make N. Djokovic the favourite.

The model gave N. Djokovic the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Djokovic won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

N. Borges's last five matches

N. Djokovic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

N. Djokovic leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is N. Borges's first match of the tournament. This is N. Djokovic's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, N. Borges wins 51 % (88 of 174), N. Djokovic 68 % (82 of 121). In deciding sets, N. Borges wins 62 % of the time (113 matches), N. Djokovic 63 % (56 matches). After losing the first set, N. Borges turned 30 % of matches around (175 occasions), N. Djokovic 51 % (69 occasions). After winning the first set, N. Borges went on to win 86 % of matches, N. Djokovic 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about N. Borges – N. Djokovic

Who is the favourite between N. Borges and N. Djokovic?
The match is over: N. Djokovic won 2-0. Bookmakers make N. Djokovic the favourite, priced at 1.39 against 2.97 for N. Borges. Pronocast's model had N. Djokovic winning at 68 %.
When is the N. Borges – N. Djokovic match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 13:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between N. Borges and N. Djokovic?
Since 2020, N. Djokovic leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for N. Borges – N. Djokovic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026