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N. Honda vs N. Basilashvili prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
N. HondaN. Basilashvili
23.4 %76.6 %
Model favourite
N. Basilashvili
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-1 · N. Honda

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Round of 32hard court09:45
N. Honda
N. Honda
vs
N. Basilashvili
N. Basilashvili
1602
Elo
1969
1588
Elo on hard court
1892
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
2 / 10
5
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.61
Odds
1.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

N. Honda
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
N. Basilashvili
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
2 – 8
17 – 7
Sets won – lost
8 – 17
2 wins
Current streak
3 losses
9-6 (60%)
2026 record
19-25 (43%)
13-16 (45%)
Record on hard court
59-73 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by N. Honda and N. Basilashvili, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

N. Basilashvili comes in with an Elo of 1969, against 1602 for N. Honda: a 367-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 303 points in favour of N. Basilashvili. N. Honda won 4 of the last ten matches, N. Basilashvili won 2. N. Honda has 3 wins in the last five matches. N. Basilashvili has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make N. Basilashvili the favourite.

The model gave N. Basilashvili the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Honda won 1-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

N. Honda's last five matches

N. Basilashvili's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, N. Honda beat H. Duan (6-2 6-3), then J. Flores (6-4 6-4). This is N. Basilashvili's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, N. Honda wins 30 % (3 of 10), N. Basilashvili 54 % (56 of 103). In deciding sets, N. Honda wins 21 % of the time (14 matches), N. Basilashvili 54 % (90 matches). After losing the first set, N. Honda turned 10 % of matches around (10 occasions), N. Basilashvili 15 % (130 occasions). After winning the first set, N. Honda went on to win 57 % of matches, N. Basilashvili 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about N. Honda – N. Basilashvili

Who is the favourite between N. Honda and N. Basilashvili?
The match is over: N. Honda won 1-1. Bookmakers make N. Basilashvili the favourite, priced at 1.25 against 3.61 for N. Honda. Pronocast's model had N. Basilashvili winning at 77 %.
When is the N. Honda – N. Basilashvili match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 09:45, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between N. Honda and N. Basilashvili?
No meeting between N. Honda and N. Basilashvili appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for N. Honda – N. Basilashvili?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026