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O. Jasika vs D. Sweeny prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
O. JasikaD. Sweeny
31.0 %69.0 %
Model favourite
D. Sweeny
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · D. Sweeny

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 32hard court07:45
O. Jasika
O. Jasika
vs
D. Sweeny
D. Sweeny
1807
Elo
1911
1798
Elo on hard court
1821
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
2 / 10
3
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.65
Odds
1.47

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

O. Jasika
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
D. Sweeny
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
2 – 8
14 – 6
Sets won – lost
8 – 19
2 wins
Current streak
2 losses
12-17 (41%)
2026 record
23-24 (49%)
74-81 (48%)
Record on hard court
78-91 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by O. Jasika and D. Sweeny, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Sweeny comes in with an Elo of 1911, against 1807 for O. Jasika: a 104-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 23 points in favour of D. Sweeny. O. Jasika won 7 of the last ten matches, D. Sweeny won 2. O. Jasika has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Sweeny has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, O. Jasika leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make D. Sweeny the favourite.

The model gave D. Sweeny the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Sweeny won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

O. Jasika's last five matches

D. Sweeny's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

O. Jasika leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, O. Jasika beat C. Ferguson (6-3 6-1), then H. Moriya (6-4 6-4). This is D. Sweeny's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, O. Jasika wins 42 % (20 of 48), D. Sweeny 52 % (32 of 62). In deciding sets, O. Jasika wins 45 % of the time (56 matches), D. Sweeny 52 % (60 matches). After losing the first set, O. Jasika turned 16 % of matches around (101 occasions), D. Sweeny 20 % (114 occasions). After winning the first set, O. Jasika went on to win 81 % of matches, D. Sweeny 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about O. Jasika – D. Sweeny

Who is the favourite between O. Jasika and D. Sweeny?
The match is over: D. Sweeny won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Sweeny the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.65 for O. Jasika. Pronocast's model had D. Sweeny winning at 69 %.
When is the O. Jasika – D. Sweeny match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 07:45, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between O. Jasika and D. Sweeny?
Since 2020, O. Jasika leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for O. Jasika – D. Sweeny?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026