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P. Kotov vs A. Santillan prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. KotovA. Santillan
77.6 %22.4 %
Model favourite
P. Kotov
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · P. Kotov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Round of 16hard court11:45
P. Kotov
P. Kotov
vs
A. Santillan
A. Santillan
2017
Elo
1792
2041
Elo on hard court
1779
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
5
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.23
Odds
3.72

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Kotov
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
A. Santillan
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
11 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
24-8 (75%)
2026 record
12-16 (43%)
93-73 (56%)
Record on hard court
44-51 (46%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Kotov and A. Santillan, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Kotov comes in with an Elo of 2017, against 1792 for A. Santillan: a 225-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 262 points in favour of P. Kotov. P. Kotov won 5 of the last ten matches, A. Santillan won 4. P. Kotov has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Santillan has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, P. Kotov leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make P. Kotov the favourite.

The model gave P. Kotov the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Kotov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Kotov's last five matches

A. Santillan's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

P. Kotov leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Kotov beat S. Mochizuki (7-6 6-1). To reach this round, A. Santillan beat Y. Zeng (7-5 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Kotov wins 54 % (69 of 127), A. Santillan 50 % (19 of 38). In deciding sets, P. Kotov wins 54 % of the time (101 matches), A. Santillan 53 % (57 matches). After losing the first set, P. Kotov turned 24 % of matches around (136 occasions), A. Santillan 19 % (74 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Kotov went on to win 84 % of matches, A. Santillan 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Kotov – A. Santillan

Who is the favourite between P. Kotov and A. Santillan?
The match is over: P. Kotov won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Kotov the favourite, priced at 1.23 against 3.72 for A. Santillan. Pronocast's model had P. Kotov winning at 78 %.
When is the P. Kotov – A. Santillan match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 11:45, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between P. Kotov and A. Santillan?
Since 2020, P. Kotov leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Kotov – A. Santillan?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026