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S. Baez vs J. Brooksby prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
S. BaezJ. Brooksby
42.6 %57.4 %
Model favourite
J. Brooksby
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · J. Brooksby

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduRound of 32hard court07:10
S. Baez
S. Baez
vs
J. Brooksby
J. Brooksby
2160
Elo
2061
2063
Elo on hard court
1960
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.16
Odds
1.66

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Baez
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
J. Brooksby
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
33-21 (61%)
2026 record
12-22 (35%)
44-59 (43%)
Record on hard court
71-48 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Baez and J. Brooksby, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Baez comes in with an Elo of 2160, against 2061 for J. Brooksby: a 99-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 103 points in favour of S. Baez. S. Baez won 6 of the last ten matches, J. Brooksby won 4. S. Baez has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. Brooksby has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, S. Baez leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Brooksby the favourite.

The model gave J. Brooksby the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Brooksby won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

S. Baez's last five matches

J. Brooksby's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

S. Baez leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is S. Baez's first match of the tournament. This is J. Brooksby's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Baez wins 51 % (50 of 98), J. Brooksby 58 % (28 of 48). In deciding sets, S. Baez wins 54 % of the time (114 matches), J. Brooksby 64 % (44 matches). After losing the first set, S. Baez turned 23 % of matches around (144 occasions), J. Brooksby 19 % (81 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Baez went on to win 84 % of matches, J. Brooksby 91 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Baez – J. Brooksby

Who is the favourite between S. Baez and J. Brooksby?
The match is over: J. Brooksby won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Brooksby the favourite, priced at 1.66 against 2.16 for S. Baez. Pronocast's model had J. Brooksby winning at 57 %.
When is the S. Baez – J. Brooksby match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 07:10, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Baez and J. Brooksby?
Since 2020, S. Baez leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Baez – J. Brooksby?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026