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S. Mochizuki vs L. Xiao prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
S. MochizukiL. Xiao
95.5 %4.5 %
Model favourite
S. Mochizuki
Probability
96 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · S. Mochizuki

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduQualifyinghard court09:40
S. Mochizuki
S. Mochizuki
vs
L. Xiao
L. Xiao
1953
Elo
1204
1832
Elo on hard court
1208
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Mochizuki
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
L. Xiao
  1. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
0 – 1
8 – 16
Sets won – lost
0 – 2
3 losses
Current streak
1 loss
19-29 (40%)
2026 record
–
116-109 (52%)
Record on hard court
0-1 (0%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Mochizuki and L. Xiao, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Mochizuki comes in with an Elo of 1953, against 1204 for L. Xiao: a 749-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 623 points in favour of S. Mochizuki. S. Mochizuki won 3 of the last ten matches, L. Xiao won 3. S. Mochizuki has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave S. Mochizuki the win at 96 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Mochizuki won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

S. Mochizuki's last five matches

L. Xiao's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is S. Mochizuki's first match of the tournament. This is L. Xiao's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Frequently asked questions about S. Mochizuki – L. Xiao

Who is the favourite between S. Mochizuki and L. Xiao?
The match is over: S. Mochizuki won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had S. Mochizuki winning at 96 %.
When is the S. Mochizuki – L. Xiao match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 09:40, at the Chengdu tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Mochizuki and L. Xiao?
No meeting between S. Mochizuki and L. Xiao appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Mochizuki – L. Xiao?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026