Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

T. Daniel vs H. Matsuoka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. DanielH. Matsuoka
73.3 %26.7 %
Model favourite
T. Daniel
Probability
73 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · T. Daniel

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouQualifyinghard court06:10
T. Daniel
T. Daniel
vs
H. Matsuoka
H. Matsuoka
2082
Elo
1875
1872
Elo on hard court
1861
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Daniel
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
H. Matsuoka
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 7
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
35-15 (70%)
2026 record
31-24 (56%)
125-96 (57%)
Record on hard court
44-36 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Daniel and H. Matsuoka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Daniel comes in with an Elo of 2082, against 1875 for H. Matsuoka: a 207-point edge. T. Daniel won 7 of the last ten matches, H. Matsuoka won 6. T. Daniel has 2 wins in the last five matches. H. Matsuoka has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave T. Daniel the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Daniel won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Daniel's last five matches

H. Matsuoka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Daniel beat Ja. Delaney (6-3 6-4). To reach this round, H. Matsuoka beat A. Weber (6-4 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Daniel wins 50 % (62 of 124), H. Matsuoka 44 % (12 of 27). In deciding sets, T. Daniel wins 44 % of the time (103 matches), H. Matsuoka 41 % (29 matches). After losing the first set, T. Daniel turned 13 % of matches around (137 occasions), H. Matsuoka 27 % (37 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Daniel went on to win 81 % of matches, H. Matsuoka 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Daniel – H. Matsuoka

Who is the favourite between T. Daniel and H. Matsuoka?
The match is over: T. Daniel won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had T. Daniel winning at 73 %.
When is the T. Daniel – H. Matsuoka match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 06:10, at the Hangzhou tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Daniel and H. Matsuoka?
No meeting between T. Daniel and H. Matsuoka appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Daniel – H. Matsuoka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026