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T. Griekspoor vs D. Shapovalov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. GriekspoorD. Shapovalov
44.2 %55.8 %
Model favourite
D. Shapovalov
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · D. Shapovalov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduRound of 32hard court09:10
T. Griekspoor
T. Griekspoor
vs
D. Shapovalov
D. Shapovalov
2135
Elo
2177
2095
Elo on hard court
2167
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.19
Odds
1.64

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Griekspoor
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
D. Shapovalov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
12 – 16
Sets won – lost
18 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
15-19 (44%)
2026 record
16-16 (50%)
81-72 (53%)
Record on hard court
92-69 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Griekspoor and D. Shapovalov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Shapovalov comes in with an Elo of 2177, against 2135 for T. Griekspoor: a 43-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 73 points in favour of D. Shapovalov. T. Griekspoor won 4 of the last ten matches, D. Shapovalov won 7. T. Griekspoor has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Shapovalov has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make D. Shapovalov the favourite.

The model gave D. Shapovalov the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Shapovalov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Griekspoor's last five matches

D. Shapovalov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is T. Griekspoor's first match of the tournament. This is D. Shapovalov's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Griekspoor wins 56 % (109 of 195), D. Shapovalov 51 % (60 of 118). In deciding sets, T. Griekspoor wins 57 % of the time (128 matches), D. Shapovalov 49 % (81 matches). After losing the first set, T. Griekspoor turned 30 % of matches around (135 occasions), D. Shapovalov 18 % (112 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Griekspoor went on to win 80 % of matches, D. Shapovalov 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Griekspoor – D. Shapovalov

Who is the favourite between T. Griekspoor and D. Shapovalov?
The match is over: D. Shapovalov won 2-0. Bookmakers make D. Shapovalov the favourite, priced at 1.64 against 2.19 for T. Griekspoor. Pronocast's model had D. Shapovalov winning at 56 %.
When is the T. Griekspoor – D. Shapovalov match?
On Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 09:10, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Griekspoor and D. Shapovalov?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Griekspoor – D. Shapovalov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 24 September 2026

All matches on 24 September 2026