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Y. Bu vs M. Zheng prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
Y. BuM. Zheng
40.8 %59.2 %
Model favourite
M. Zheng
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · Y. Bu

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouRound of 32hard court10:25
Y. Bu
Y. Bu
vs
M. Zheng
M. Zheng
2112
Elo
2189
2024
Elo on hard court
2124
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
0
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.30
Odds
1.59

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Bu
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
M. Zheng
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 13
Sets won – lost
18 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
30-17 (64%)
2026 record
29-14 (67%)
113-75 (60%)
Record on hard court
60-27 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Bu and M. Zheng, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Zheng comes in with an Elo of 2189, against 2112 for Y. Bu: a 76-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 100 points in favour of M. Zheng. Y. Bu won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Zheng won 7. Y. Bu has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Zheng has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite.

The model gave M. Zheng the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Bu won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

Y. Bu's last five matches

M. Zheng's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is Y. Bu's first match of the tournament. This is M. Zheng's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Bu wins 45 % (49 of 108), M. Zheng 39 % (13 of 33). In deciding sets, Y. Bu wins 47 % of the time (70 matches), M. Zheng 57 % (30 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Bu turned 19 % of matches around (94 occasions), M. Zheng 28 % (39 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Bu went on to win 81 % of matches, M. Zheng 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Bu – M. Zheng

Who is the favourite between Y. Bu and M. Zheng?
The match is over: Y. Bu won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite, priced at 1.59 against 2.30 for Y. Bu. Pronocast's model had M. Zheng winning at 59 %.
When is the Y. Bu – M. Zheng match?
On Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 10:25, at the Hangzhou tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Y. Bu and M. Zheng?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Bu – M. Zheng?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 24 September 2026

All matches on 24 September 2026