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Z. Sonmez vs I. Jovic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
Z. SonmezI. Jovic
22.6 %77.4 %
Model favourite
I. Jovic
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · I. Jovic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTAGuadalajaraRound of 16hard court23:00
Z. Sonmez
Z. Sonmez
vs
I. Jovic
I. Jovic
2148
Elo
2331
2031
Elo on hard court
2202
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.16
Odds
1.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Z. Sonmez
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
I. Jovic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
11 – 13
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
28-20 (58%)
2026 record
34-19 (64%)
52-43 (55%)
Record on hard court
38-24 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Z. Sonmez and I. Jovic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Jovic comes in with an Elo of 2331, against 2148 for Z. Sonmez: a 182-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 171 points in favour of I. Jovic. Z. Sonmez won 5 of the last ten matches, I. Jovic won 6. Z. Sonmez has 2 wins in the last five matches. I. Jovic has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make I. Jovic the favourite.

The model gave I. Jovic the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Jovic won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

Z. Sonmez's last five matches

I. Jovic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Z. Sonmez beat I. Shymanovich (6-1 6-1). This is I. Jovic's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Jovic, who beat E. Arango in the final (6-4 6-1). I. Jovic is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Z. Sonmez wins 60 % (24 of 40), I. Jovic 48 % (11 of 23). In deciding sets, Z. Sonmez wins 62 % of the time (68 matches), I. Jovic 58 % (33 matches). After losing the first set, Z. Sonmez turned 29 % of matches around (95 occasions), I. Jovic 12 % (34 occasions). After winning the first set, Z. Sonmez went on to win 86 % of matches, I. Jovic 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Z. Sonmez – I. Jovic

Who is the favourite between Z. Sonmez and I. Jovic?
The match is over: I. Jovic won 2-0. Bookmakers make I. Jovic the favourite, priced at 1.25 against 4.16 for Z. Sonmez. Pronocast's model had I. Jovic winning at 77 %.
When is the Z. Sonmez – I. Jovic match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 23:00, at the Guadalajara tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Z. Sonmez and I. Jovic?
No meeting between Z. Sonmez and I. Jovic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Z. Sonmez – I. Jovic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guadalajara

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026