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A. Molcan vs K. Khachanov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. MolcanK. Khachanov
23.4 %76.6 %
Model favourite
K. Khachanov
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · K. Khachanov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 16hard court07:10
A. Molcan
A. Molcan
vs
K. Khachanov
K. Khachanov
2181
Elo
2223
1943
Elo on hard court
2115
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
5
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.20
Odds
1.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Molcan
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
K. Khachanov
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 11
Sets won – lost
17 – 15
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
32-17 (65%)
2026 record
21-19 (53%)
51-39 (57%)
Record on hard court
113-80 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Molcan and K. Khachanov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Khachanov comes in with an Elo of 2223, against 2181 for A. Molcan: a 42-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 172 points in favour of K. Khachanov. A. Molcan won 6 of the last ten matches, K. Khachanov won 5. A. Molcan has 4 wins in the last five matches. K. Khachanov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Molcan leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make K. Khachanov the favourite.

The model gave K. Khachanov the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Khachanov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Molcan's last five matches

K. Khachanov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Molcan leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Molcan beat V. Kopriva (7-6 2-6 7-6), then M. Trungelliti (6-4 7-5), then T. Machac (6-3 6-2). To reach this round, K. Khachanov beat F. Auger-Aliassime (6-3 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Molcan wins 62 % (57 of 92), K. Khachanov 51 % (75 of 147). In deciding sets, A. Molcan wins 57 % of the time (86 matches), K. Khachanov 52 % (110 matches). After losing the first set, A. Molcan turned 25 % of matches around (102 occasions), K. Khachanov 31 % (124 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Molcan went on to win 84 % of matches, K. Khachanov 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Molcan – K. Khachanov

Who is the favourite between A. Molcan and K. Khachanov?
The match is over: K. Khachanov won 2-0. Bookmakers make K. Khachanov the favourite, priced at 1.25 against 4.20 for A. Molcan. Pronocast's model had K. Khachanov winning at 77 %.
When is the A. Molcan – K. Khachanov match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 07:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Molcan and K. Khachanov?
Since 2020, A. Molcan leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Molcan – K. Khachanov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026