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K. Jacquet vs L. Darderi prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
K. JacquetL. Darderi
47.5 %52.5 %
Model favourite
L. Darderi
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · K. Jacquet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 16hard court10:00
K. Jacquet
K. Jacquet
vs
L. Darderi
L. Darderi
2129
Elo
2229
2078
Elo on hard court
2023
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.04
Odds
1.68

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Jacquet
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
L. Darderi
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 9
Sets won – lost
15 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
30-16 (65%)
2026 record
34-21 (62%)
78-48 (62%)
Record on hard court
32-41 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Jacquet and L. Darderi, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Darderi comes in with an Elo of 2229, against 2129 for K. Jacquet: a 100-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 55 points in favour of K. Jacquet. K. Jacquet won 6 of the last ten matches, L. Darderi won 6. K. Jacquet has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Darderi has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Darderi the favourite.

The model gave L. Darderi the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Jacquet won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

K. Jacquet's last five matches

L. Darderi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, K. Jacquet beat H. Rune (6-3 6-1). To reach this round, L. Darderi beat C. Ruud (7-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Jacquet wins 60 % (48 of 80), L. Darderi 53 % (64 of 120). In deciding sets, K. Jacquet wins 51 % of the time (81 matches), L. Darderi 62 % (107 matches). After losing the first set, K. Jacquet turned 23 % of matches around (88 occasions), L. Darderi 23 % (150 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Jacquet went on to win 83 % of matches, L. Darderi 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Jacquet – L. Darderi

Who is the favourite between K. Jacquet and L. Darderi?
The match is over: K. Jacquet won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Darderi the favourite, priced at 1.68 against 2.04 for K. Jacquet. Pronocast's model had L. Darderi winning at 52 %.
When is the K. Jacquet – L. Darderi match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 10:00, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Jacquet and L. Darderi?
No meeting between K. Jacquet and L. Darderi appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Jacquet – L. Darderi?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026