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M. Andreeva vs C. Gauff prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. AndreevaC. Gauff
35.3 %64.7 %
Model favourite
C. Gauff
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · C. Gauff

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

WTAUS OpenQuarter-finalhard court20:15
M. Andreeva
M. Andreeva
vs
C. Gauff
C. Gauff
2463
Elo
2571
2324
Elo on hard court
2480
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
10 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.59
Odds
1.50

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Andreeva
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
C. Gauff
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
10 – 0
16 – 7
Sets won – lost
20 – 1
4 wins
Current streak
10 wins
44-13 (77%)
2026 record
44-12 (79%)
71-31 (70%)
Record on hard court
164-58 (74%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Andreeva and C. Gauff, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

C. Gauff comes in with an Elo of 2571, against 2463 for M. Andreeva: a 108-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 156 points in favour of C. Gauff. M. Andreeva won 7 of the last ten matches, C. Gauff won 10. M. Andreeva has 4 wins in the last five matches. C. Gauff has 5 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, C. Gauff leads 5 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make C. Gauff the favourite.

The model gave C. Gauff the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. C. Gauff won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Andreeva's last five matches

C. Gauff's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

C. Gauff leads 5 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Andreeva beat J. Tjen (6-2 6-2), then E. Lys (6-0 6-2), then N. Bartunkova (6-2 7-6), then A. Potapova (5-7 6-4 6-3). To reach this round, C. Gauff beat Z. Sonmez (6-3 6-4), then P. Badosa (6-4 7-6), then C. Bucsa (6-3 6-4), then I. Jovic (6-1 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Sabalenka, who beat A. Anisimova in the final (6-3 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Andreeva wins 60 % (25 of 42), C. Gauff 65 % (51 of 78). In deciding sets, M. Andreeva wins 56 % of the time (57 matches), C. Gauff 64 % (95 matches). After losing the first set, M. Andreeva turned 37 % of matches around (59 occasions), C. Gauff 33 % (105 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Andreeva went on to win 86 % of matches, C. Gauff 92 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Andreeva – C. Gauff

Who is the favourite between M. Andreeva and C. Gauff?
The match is over: C. Gauff won 2-1. Bookmakers make C. Gauff the favourite, priced at 1.50 against 2.59 for M. Andreeva. Pronocast's model had C. Gauff winning at 65 %.
When is the M. Andreeva – C. Gauff match?
On Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at 20:15, at the US Open tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Andreeva and C. Gauff?
Since 2020, C. Gauff leads 5 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Andreeva – C. Gauff?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: US Open

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 September 2026

All matches on 9 September 2026