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Q. Zheng vs E. Rybakina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
Q. ZhengE. Rybakina
30.0 %70.0 %
Model favourite
E. Rybakina
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · E. Rybakina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

WTAUS OpenQuarter-finalhard court17:40
Q. Zheng
Q. Zheng
vs
E. Rybakina
E. Rybakina
2318
Elo
2574
2282
Elo on hard court
2557
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
6
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.28
Odds
1.34

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Q. Zheng
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
E. Rybakina
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
9 – 1
15 – 10
Sets won – lost
18 – 4
7 wins
Current streak
7 wins
18-13 (58%)
2026 record
45-11 (80%)
107-48 (69%)
Record on hard court
169-56 (75%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Q. Zheng and E. Rybakina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Rybakina comes in with an Elo of 2574, against 2318 for Q. Zheng: a 255-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 275 points in favour of E. Rybakina. Q. Zheng won 7 of the last ten matches, E. Rybakina won 9. Q. Zheng has 5 wins in the last five matches. E. Rybakina has 5 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Rybakina leads 4 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Rybakina the favourite.

The model gave E. Rybakina the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Rybakina won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

Q. Zheng's last five matches

E. Rybakina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Rybakina leads 4 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Q. Zheng beat X. You (6-3 6-2), then C. Burel (6-1 7-5), then E. Pridankina (6-4 3-6 6-0), then K. Liutova (4-6 6-3 6-1), then Y. Putintseva (6-4 2-6 6-1), then M. Keys (1-6 7-6 7-5), then I. Swiatek (7-5 6-3). To reach this round, E. Rybakina beat T. Frodin (6-3 6-2), then J. Bouzas Maneiro (6-2 6-4), then Y. Starodubtseva (7-6 6-3), then N. Osaka (6-1 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Sabalenka, who beat A. Anisimova in the final (6-3 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Q. Zheng wins 55 % (34 of 62), E. Rybakina 56 % (62 of 111). In deciding sets, Q. Zheng wins 69 % of the time (93 matches), E. Rybakina 59 % (120 matches). After losing the first set, Q. Zheng turned 32 % of matches around (91 occasions), E. Rybakina 38 % (100 occasions). After winning the first set, Q. Zheng went on to win 89 % of matches, E. Rybakina 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Q. Zheng – E. Rybakina

Who is the favourite between Q. Zheng and E. Rybakina?
The match is over: E. Rybakina won 2-1. Bookmakers make E. Rybakina the favourite, priced at 1.34 against 3.28 for Q. Zheng. Pronocast's model had E. Rybakina winning at 70 %.
When is the Q. Zheng – E. Rybakina match?
On Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at 17:40, at the US Open tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Q. Zheng and E. Rybakina?
Since 2020, E. Rybakina leads 4 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for Q. Zheng – E. Rybakina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: US Open

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 September 2026

All matches on 9 September 2026