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V. Vacherot vs S. Tsitsipas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
V. VacherotS. Tsitsipas
45.9 %54.1 %
Model favourite
S. Tsitsipas
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · V. Vacherot

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 16hard court05:35
V. Vacherot
V. Vacherot
vs
S. Tsitsipas
S. Tsitsipas
2226
Elo
2284
2095
Elo on hard court
2178
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
4
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

V. Vacherot
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
S. Tsitsipas
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
8 – 2
13 – 13
Sets won – lost
19 – 10
1 win
Current streak
5 wins
21-15 (58%)
2026 record
33-20 (62%)
64-36 (64%)
Record on hard court
126-73 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by V. Vacherot and S. Tsitsipas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Tsitsipas comes in with an Elo of 2284, against 2226 for V. Vacherot: a 58-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 83 points in favour of S. Tsitsipas. V. Vacherot won 5 of the last ten matches, S. Tsitsipas won 8. V. Vacherot has 3 wins in the last five matches. S. Tsitsipas has 5 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave S. Tsitsipas the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. V. Vacherot won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

V. Vacherot's last five matches

S. Tsitsipas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, V. Vacherot beat A. Blockx (7-6 7-6). To reach this round, S. Tsitsipas beat Y. Nishioka (7-5 6-2), then R. Hijikata (6-4 6-3), then T. M. Etcheverry (4-6 6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, V. Vacherot wins 54 % (58 of 108), S. Tsitsipas 55 % (106 of 194). In deciding sets, V. Vacherot wins 59 % of the time (86 matches), S. Tsitsipas 62 % (103 matches). After losing the first set, V. Vacherot turned 33 % of matches around (94 occasions), S. Tsitsipas 28 % (131 occasions). After winning the first set, V. Vacherot went on to win 86 % of matches, S. Tsitsipas 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about V. Vacherot – S. Tsitsipas

Who is the favourite between V. Vacherot and S. Tsitsipas?
The match is over: V. Vacherot won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had S. Tsitsipas winning at 54 %.
When is the V. Vacherot – S. Tsitsipas match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 05:35, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between V. Vacherot and S. Tsitsipas?
No meeting between V. Vacherot and S. Tsitsipas appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for V. Vacherot – S. Tsitsipas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026