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A. Bolt vs S. Pankin prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BoltS. Pankin
75.0 %25.0 %
Model favourite
A. Bolt
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Bolt

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 32hard court08:55
A. Bolt
A. Bolt
vs
S. Pankin
S. Pankin
1911
Elo
1693
1865
Elo on hard court
1728
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.28
Odds
3.55

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Bolt
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
S. Pankin
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
3 – 7
9 – 14
Sets won – lost
10 – 15
1 loss
Current streak
4 losses
19-21 (48%)
2026 record
5-8 (38%)
80-81 (50%)
Record on hard court
9-11 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Bolt and S. Pankin, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Bolt comes in with an Elo of 1911, against 1693 for S. Pankin: a 219-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 137 points in favour of A. Bolt. A. Bolt won 4 of the last ten matches, S. Pankin won 4. A. Bolt has 2 wins in the last five matches. S. Pankin has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Bolt the favourite.

The model gave A. Bolt the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Bolt won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Bolt's last five matches

S. Pankin's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Bolt's first match of the tournament. This is S. Pankin's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, A. Bolt went on to win 84 % of matches, S. Pankin 62 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Bolt – S. Pankin

Who is the favourite between A. Bolt and S. Pankin?
The match is over: A. Bolt won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Bolt the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.55 for S. Pankin. Pronocast's model had A. Bolt winning at 75 %.
When is the A. Bolt – S. Pankin match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 08:55, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Bolt and S. Pankin?
No meeting between A. Bolt and S. Pankin appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Bolt – S. Pankin?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026