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A. Fils vs K. Majchrzak prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. FilsK. Majchrzak
77.2 %22.8 %
Model favourite
A. Fils
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Fils

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQualifyinghard court05:35
A. Fils
A. Fils
vs
K. Majchrzak
K. Majchrzak
2446
Elo
2151
2299
Elo on hard court
1990
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
1
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Fils
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
K. Majchrzak
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
4 – 6
17 – 8
Sets won – lost
11 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
32-10 (76%)
2026 record
22-21 (51%)
91-58 (61%)
Record on hard court
72-51 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Fils and K. Majchrzak, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Fils comes in with an Elo of 2446, against 2151 for K. Majchrzak: a 295-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 308 points in favour of A. Fils. A. Fils won 8 of the last ten matches, K. Majchrzak won 3. A. Fils has 4 wins in the last five matches. K. Majchrzak has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Fils leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. Fils the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Fils won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Fils's last five matches

K. Majchrzak's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Fils leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Fils beat M. Damm (2-6 6-1 6-1). To reach this round, K. Majchrzak beat L. Sonego (7-5 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Fils wins 58 % (69 of 118), K. Majchrzak 48 % (56 of 116). In deciding sets, A. Fils wins 63 % of the time (86 matches), K. Majchrzak 55 % (85 matches). After losing the first set, A. Fils turned 29 % of matches around (113 occasions), K. Majchrzak 24 % (95 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Fils went on to win 87 % of matches, K. Majchrzak 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Fils – K. Majchrzak

Who is the favourite between A. Fils and K. Majchrzak?
The match is over: A. Fils won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. Fils winning at 77 %.
When is the A. Fils – K. Majchrzak match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 05:35, at the Tokyo tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Fils and K. Majchrzak?
Since 2020, A. Fils leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Fils – K. Majchrzak?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026