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A. Fils vs M. Damm prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. FilsM. Damm
77.4 %22.6 %
Model favourite
A. Fils
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Fils

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQualifyinghard court05:55
A. Fils
A. Fils
vs
M. Damm
M. Damm
2442
Elo
2103
2292
Elo on hard court
2010
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Fils
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
M. Damm
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
8 – 2
Wins – losses
4 – 6
17 – 7
Sets won – lost
13 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
31-10 (76%)
2026 record
30-25 (55%)
90-58 (61%)
Record on hard court
69-58 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Fils and M. Damm, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Fils comes in with an Elo of 2442, against 2103 for M. Damm: a 339-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 282 points in favour of A. Fils. A. Fils won 8 of the last ten matches, M. Damm won 4. A. Fils has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Damm has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. Fils the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Fils won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Fils's last five matches

M. Damm's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Fils's first match of the tournament. This is M. Damm's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Fils wins 58 % (69 of 118), M. Damm 51 % (59 of 116). In deciding sets, A. Fils wins 62 % of the time (85 matches), M. Damm 38 % (65 matches). After losing the first set, A. Fils turned 29 % of matches around (112 occasions), M. Damm 18 % (71 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Fils went on to win 87 % of matches, M. Damm 75 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Fils – M. Damm

Who is the favourite between A. Fils and M. Damm?
The match is over: A. Fils won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. Fils winning at 77 %.
When is the A. Fils – M. Damm match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 05:55, at the Tokyo tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Fils and M. Damm?
No meeting between A. Fils and M. Damm appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Fils – M. Damm?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026