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A. Weber vs Y. Erel prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. WeberY. Erel
37.2 %62.8 %
Model favourite
Y. Erel
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · Y. Erel

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 32hard court08:00
A. Weber
A. Weber
vs
Y. Erel
Y. Erel
1781
Elo
1901
1766
Elo on hard court
1901
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.40
Odds
1.49

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Weber
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
Y. Erel
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
10 – 10
Sets won – lost
14 – 11
2 losses
Current streak
2 losses
10-12 (45%)
2026 record
14-9 (61%)
29-35 (45%)
Record on hard court
34-26 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Weber and Y. Erel, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Y. Erel comes in with an Elo of 1901, against 1781 for A. Weber: a 120-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 136 points in favour of Y. Erel. A. Weber won 7 of the last ten matches, Y. Erel won 6. A. Weber has 2 wins in the last five matches. Y. Erel has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make Y. Erel the favourite.

The model gave Y. Erel the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Erel won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Weber's last five matches

Y. Erel's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Weber's first match of the tournament. This is Y. Erel's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Weber wins 48 % (11 of 23), Y. Erel 49 % (17 of 35). In deciding sets, A. Weber wins 56 % of the time (16 matches), Y. Erel 45 % (29 matches). After losing the first set, A. Weber turned 12 % of matches around (43 occasions), Y. Erel 16 % (37 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Weber went on to win 90 % of matches, Y. Erel 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Weber – Y. Erel

Who is the favourite between A. Weber and Y. Erel?
The match is over: Y. Erel won 2-0. Bookmakers make Y. Erel the favourite, priced at 1.49 against 2.40 for A. Weber. Pronocast's model had Y. Erel winning at 63 %.
When is the A. Weber – Y. Erel match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 08:00, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Weber and Y. Erel?
No meeting between A. Weber and Y. Erel appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Weber – Y. Erel?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026