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B. Tomic vs F. Sun prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
B. TomicF. Sun
56.6 %43.4 %
Model favourite
B. Tomic
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · B. Tomic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 32hard court10:30
B. Tomic
B. Tomic
vs
F. Sun
F. Sun
1958
Elo
1852
1923
Elo on hard court
1841
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
6
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.60
Odds
2.08

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Tomic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
F. Sun
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
11 – 13
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
28-22 (56%)
2026 record
27-25 (52%)
96-78 (55%)
Record on hard court
64-67 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Tomic and F. Sun, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Tomic comes in with an Elo of 1958, against 1852 for F. Sun: a 106-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 82 points in favour of B. Tomic. B. Tomic won 6 of the last ten matches, F. Sun won 5. B. Tomic has 3 wins in the last five matches. F. Sun has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, F. Sun leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make B. Tomic the favourite.

The model gave B. Tomic the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Tomic won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Tomic's last five matches

F. Sun's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

F. Sun leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is B. Tomic's first match of the tournament. This is F. Sun's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Tomic wins 55 % (54 of 99), F. Sun 39 % (17 of 44). In deciding sets, B. Tomic wins 59 % of the time (95 matches), F. Sun 46 % (50 matches). After losing the first set, B. Tomic turned 27 % of matches around (115 occasions), F. Sun 21 % (73 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Tomic went on to win 83 % of matches, F. Sun 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Tomic – F. Sun

Who is the favourite between B. Tomic and F. Sun?
The match is over: B. Tomic won 2-1. Bookmakers make B. Tomic the favourite, priced at 1.60 against 2.08 for F. Sun. Pronocast's model had B. Tomic winning at 57 %.
When is the B. Tomic – F. Sun match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 10:30, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Tomic and F. Sun?
Since 2020, F. Sun leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Tomic – F. Sun?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026