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D. Medvedev vs V. Royer prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. MedvedevV. Royer
77.4 %22.6 %
Model favourite
D. Medvedev
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · D. Medvedev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouRound of 16hard court13:35
D. Medvedev
D. Medvedev
vs
V. Royer
V. Royer
2289
Elo
2102
2264
Elo on hard court
1981
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.27
Odds
3.77

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Medvedev
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
V. Royer
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 13
Sets won – lost
16 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
34-16 (68%)
2026 record
23-25 (48%)
186-67 (74%)
Record on hard court
62-57 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Medvedev and V. Royer, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Medvedev comes in with an Elo of 2289, against 2102 for V. Royer: a 187-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 283 points in favour of D. Medvedev. D. Medvedev won 5 of the last ten matches, V. Royer won 7. D. Medvedev has 3 wins in the last five matches. V. Royer has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Medvedev the favourite.

The model gave D. Medvedev the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Medvedev won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Medvedev's last five matches

V. Royer's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is D. Medvedev's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, V. Royer beat A. Walton (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Medvedev wins 53 % (80 of 152), V. Royer 52 % (63 of 122). In deciding sets, D. Medvedev wins 58 % of the time (103 matches), V. Royer 59 % (99 matches). After losing the first set, D. Medvedev turned 34 % of matches around (119 occasions), V. Royer 27 % (110 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Medvedev went on to win 91 % of matches, V. Royer 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Medvedev – V. Royer

Who is the favourite between D. Medvedev and V. Royer?
The match is over: D. Medvedev won 2-0. Bookmakers make D. Medvedev the favourite, priced at 1.27 against 3.77 for V. Royer. Pronocast's model had D. Medvedev winning at 77 %.
When is the D. Medvedev – V. Royer match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 13:35, at the Hangzhou tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Medvedev and V. Royer?
No meeting between D. Medvedev and V. Royer appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Medvedev – V. Royer?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026