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D. Vallejo vs J. Faria prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
D. VallejoJ. Faria
39.3 %60.7 %
Model favourite
J. Faria
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · D. Vallejo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQualifyinghard court07:35
D. Vallejo
D. Vallejo
vs
J. Faria
J. Faria
2103
Elo
2187
1862
Elo on hard court
2042
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
5
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.37
Odds
1.55

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Vallejo
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
J. Faria
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 13
Sets won – lost
17 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
41-21 (66%)
2026 record
49-24 (67%)
13-19 (41%)
Record on hard court
30-22 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Vallejo and J. Faria, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Faria comes in with an Elo of 2187, against 2103 for D. Vallejo: a 84-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 180 points in favour of J. Faria. D. Vallejo won 5 of the last ten matches, J. Faria won 7. D. Vallejo has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. Faria has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. Faria leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Faria the favourite.

The model gave J. Faria the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Vallejo won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

D. Vallejo's last five matches

J. Faria's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Faria leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Vallejo beat T. Daniel (6-3 6-2). To reach this round, J. Faria beat S. Mochizuki (6-2 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Vallejo wins 33 % (16 of 48), J. Faria 52 % (43 of 83). In deciding sets, D. Vallejo wins 56 % of the time (61 matches), J. Faria 56 % (75 matches). After losing the first set, D. Vallejo turned 21 % of matches around (86 occasions), J. Faria 28 % (88 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Vallejo went on to win 84 % of matches, J. Faria 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Vallejo – J. Faria

Who is the favourite between D. Vallejo and J. Faria?
The match is over: D. Vallejo won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Faria the favourite, priced at 1.55 against 2.37 for D. Vallejo. Pronocast's model had J. Faria winning at 61 %.
When is the D. Vallejo – J. Faria match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 07:35, at the Tokyo tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Vallejo and J. Faria?
Since 2020, J. Faria leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Vallejo – J. Faria?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026