Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

D. Vallejo vs T. Daniel prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
D. VallejoT. Daniel
47.4 %52.6 %
Model favourite
T. Daniel
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · D. Vallejo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQualifyinghard court10:35
D. Vallejo
D. Vallejo
vs
T. Daniel
T. Daniel
2085
Elo
2086
1822
Elo on hard court
1893
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.97
Odds
1.73

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Vallejo
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
T. Daniel
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 15
Sets won – lost
14 – 8
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
40-21 (66%)
2026 record
37-16 (70%)
12-19 (39%)
Record on hard court
127-97 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Vallejo and T. Daniel, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2085 against 2086): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 71 points in favour of T. Daniel. D. Vallejo won 4 of the last ten matches, T. Daniel won 6. D. Vallejo has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Daniel has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Daniel the favourite.

The model gave T. Daniel the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Vallejo won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

D. Vallejo's last five matches

T. Daniel's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is D. Vallejo's first match of the tournament. This is T. Daniel's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Vallejo wins 33 % (16 of 48), T. Daniel 51 % (65 of 128). In deciding sets, D. Vallejo wins 56 % of the time (61 matches), T. Daniel 43 % (104 matches). After losing the first set, D. Vallejo turned 21 % of matches around (86 occasions), T. Daniel 13 % (137 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Vallejo went on to win 84 % of matches, T. Daniel 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Vallejo – T. Daniel

Who is the favourite between D. Vallejo and T. Daniel?
The match is over: D. Vallejo won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Daniel the favourite, priced at 1.73 against 1.97 for D. Vallejo. Pronocast's model had T. Daniel winning at 53 %.
When is the D. Vallejo – T. Daniel match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 10:35, at the Tokyo tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Vallejo and T. Daniel?
No meeting between D. Vallejo and T. Daniel appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Vallejo – T. Daniel?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026