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L. Sonego vs K. Majchrzak prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. SonegoK. Majchrzak
41.2 %58.8 %
Model favourite
K. Majchrzak
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · K. Majchrzak

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQualifyinghard court10:55
L. Sonego
L. Sonego
vs
K. Majchrzak
K. Majchrzak
2068
Elo
2151
2015
Elo on hard court
1990
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.21
Odds
1.58

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Sonego
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
K. Majchrzak
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
3 – 7
12 – 14
Sets won – lost
9 – 16
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
13-19 (41%)
2026 record
21-21 (50%)
79-87 (48%)
Record on hard court
71-51 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Sonego and K. Majchrzak, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Majchrzak comes in with an Elo of 2151, against 2068 for L. Sonego: a 82-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 24 points in favour of L. Sonego. L. Sonego won 4 of the last ten matches, K. Majchrzak won 3. L. Sonego has one win in the last five matches. K. Majchrzak has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make K. Majchrzak the favourite.

The model gave K. Majchrzak the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Majchrzak won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Sonego's last five matches

K. Majchrzak's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is L. Sonego's first match of the tournament. This is K. Majchrzak's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Sonego wins 53 % (78 of 147), K. Majchrzak 48 % (56 of 116). In deciding sets, L. Sonego wins 45 % of the time (102 matches), K. Majchrzak 55 % (85 matches). After losing the first set, L. Sonego turned 21 % of matches around (147 occasions), K. Majchrzak 24 % (95 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Sonego went on to win 75 % of matches, K. Majchrzak 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Sonego – K. Majchrzak

Who is the favourite between L. Sonego and K. Majchrzak?
The match is over: K. Majchrzak won 2-0. Bookmakers make K. Majchrzak the favourite, priced at 1.58 against 2.21 for L. Sonego. Pronocast's model had K. Majchrzak winning at 59 %.
When is the L. Sonego – K. Majchrzak match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 10:55, at the Tokyo tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Sonego and K. Majchrzak?
No meeting between L. Sonego and K. Majchrzak appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Sonego – K. Majchrzak?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026