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M. Bellucci vs F. Peliwo prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. BellucciF. Peliwo
91.9 %8.1 %
Model favourite
M. Bellucci
Probability
92 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Bellucci

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanQualifyinghard court08:35
M. Bellucci
M. Bellucci
vs
F. Peliwo
F. Peliwo
2095
Elo
1616
1985
Elo on hard court
1571
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.03
Odds
8.50

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Bellucci
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
F. Peliwo
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
7 – 3
11 – 16
Sets won – lost
14 – 9
2 losses
Current streak
3 wins
27-26 (51%)
2026 record
8-13 (38%)
108-83 (57%)
Record on hard court
29-46 (39%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Bellucci and F. Peliwo, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Bellucci comes in with an Elo of 2095, against 1616 for F. Peliwo: a 479-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 414 points in favour of M. Bellucci. M. Bellucci won 3 of the last ten matches, F. Peliwo won 7. M. Bellucci has 2 wins in the last five matches. F. Peliwo has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Bellucci the favourite.

The model gave M. Bellucci the win at 92 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Bellucci won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Bellucci's last five matches

F. Peliwo's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Bellucci's first match of the tournament. This is F. Peliwo's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Bellucci wins 53 % (60 of 113), F. Peliwo 59 % (16 of 27). In deciding sets, M. Bellucci wins 49 % of the time (70 matches), F. Peliwo 54 % (24 matches). After losing the first set, M. Bellucci turned 13 % of matches around (116 occasions), F. Peliwo 9 % (45 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Bellucci went on to win 83 % of matches, F. Peliwo 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Bellucci – F. Peliwo

Who is the favourite between M. Bellucci and F. Peliwo?
The match is over: M. Bellucci won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Bellucci the favourite, priced at 1.03 against 8.50 for F. Peliwo. Pronocast's model had M. Bellucci winning at 92 %.
When is the M. Bellucci – F. Peliwo match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 08:35, at the Jingshan tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Bellucci and F. Peliwo?
No meeting between M. Bellucci and F. Peliwo appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Bellucci – F. Peliwo?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026