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M. Dellavedova vs A. Ilagan prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. DellavedovaA. Ilagan
34.3 %65.7 %
Model favourite
A. Ilagan
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · A. Ilagan

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 32hard court10:20
M. Dellavedova
M. Dellavedova
vs
A. Ilagan
A. Ilagan
1841
Elo
1930
1824
Elo on hard court
1883
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.80
Odds
1.42

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Dellavedova
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
A. Ilagan
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
5 – 5
8 – 15
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
2 losses
Current streak
3 losses
5-12 (29%)
2026 record
28-22 (56%)
12-31 (28%)
Record on hard court
73-64 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Dellavedova and A. Ilagan, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Ilagan comes in with an Elo of 1930, against 1841 for M. Dellavedova: a 89-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 58 points in favour of A. Ilagan. M. Dellavedova won 5 of the last ten matches, A. Ilagan won 5. M. Dellavedova has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Ilagan has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Ilagan leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Ilagan the favourite.

The model gave A. Ilagan the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Ilagan won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Dellavedova's last five matches

A. Ilagan's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Ilagan leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. Dellavedova's first match of the tournament. This is A. Ilagan's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Dellavedova wins 41 % (9 of 22), A. Ilagan 41 % (25 of 61). In deciding sets, M. Dellavedova wins 54 % of the time (28 matches), A. Ilagan 52 % (52 matches). After losing the first set, M. Dellavedova turned 13 % of matches around (55 occasions), A. Ilagan 24 % (68 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Dellavedova went on to win 77 % of matches, A. Ilagan 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Dellavedova – A. Ilagan

Who is the favourite between M. Dellavedova and A. Ilagan?
The match is over: A. Ilagan won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Ilagan the favourite, priced at 1.42 against 2.80 for M. Dellavedova. Pronocast's model had A. Ilagan winning at 66 %.
When is the M. Dellavedova – A. Ilagan match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 10:20, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Dellavedova and A. Ilagan?
Since 2020, A. Ilagan leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Dellavedova – A. Ilagan?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026