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M. Kecmanovic vs A. Mannarino prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. KecmanovicA. Mannarino
59.4 %40.6 %
Model favourite
M. Kecmanovic
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · A. Mannarino

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingQualifyinghard court12:10
M. Kecmanovic
M. Kecmanovic
vs
A. Mannarino
A. Mannarino
2099
Elo
2036
1957
Elo on hard court
1968
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.55
Odds
2.26

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Kecmanovic
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
A. Mannarino
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
12 – 15
Sets won – lost
10 – 15
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
21-25 (46%)
2026 record
18-30 (38%)
89-95 (48%)
Record on hard court
99-112 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Kecmanovic and A. Mannarino, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Kecmanovic comes in with an Elo of 2099, against 2036 for A. Mannarino: a 63-point edge. M. Kecmanovic won 4 of the last ten matches, A. Mannarino won 4. M. Kecmanovic has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Mannarino has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Mannarino leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Kecmanovic the favourite.

The model gave M. Kecmanovic the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Mannarino won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Kecmanovic's last five matches

A. Mannarino's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Mannarino leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. Kecmanovic's first match of the tournament. This is A. Mannarino's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Kecmanovic wins 46 % (71 of 156), A. Mannarino 45 % (60 of 134). In deciding sets, M. Kecmanovic wins 41 % of the time (121 matches), A. Mannarino 49 % (104 matches). After losing the first set, M. Kecmanovic turned 21 % of matches around (130 occasions), A. Mannarino 20 % (181 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Kecmanovic went on to win 72 % of matches, A. Mannarino 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Kecmanovic – A. Mannarino

Who is the favourite between M. Kecmanovic and A. Mannarino?
The match is over: A. Mannarino won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Kecmanovic the favourite, priced at 1.55 against 2.26 for A. Mannarino. Pronocast's model had M. Kecmanovic winning at 59 %.
When is the M. Kecmanovic – A. Mannarino match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 12:10, at the Beijing tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Kecmanovic and A. Mannarino?
Since 2020, A. Mannarino leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Kecmanovic – A. Mannarino?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026