S. Sakellaridis vs Y. Shimizu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
S. SakellaridisY. Shimizu
70.1 %29.9 %
Model favourite
S. Sakellaridis
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · Y. Shimizu

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 32hard court08:30
vs
Y. Shimizu
Y. Shimizu
2017
Elo
1821
2005
Elo on hard court
1806
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.36
Odds
3.00

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Sakellaridis
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
Y. Shimizu
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
10 – 14
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
3 losses
Current streak
2 losses
38-23 (62%)
2026 record
21-18 (54%)
42-38 (53%)
Record on hard court
116-99 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Sakellaridis and Y. Shimizu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Sakellaridis comes in with an Elo of 2017, against 1821 for Y. Shimizu: a 196-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 199 points in favour of S. Sakellaridis. S. Sakellaridis won 4 of the last ten matches, Y. Shimizu won 5. S. Sakellaridis has 2 wins in the last five matches. Y. Shimizu has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make S. Sakellaridis the favourite.

The model gave S. Sakellaridis the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Shimizu won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

S. Sakellaridis's last five matches

Y. Shimizu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is S. Sakellaridis's first match of the tournament. This is Y. Shimizu's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Sakellaridis wins 58 % (29 of 50), Y. Shimizu 54 % (47 of 87). In deciding sets, S. Sakellaridis wins 61 % of the time (56 matches), Y. Shimizu 51 % (68 matches). After losing the first set, S. Sakellaridis turned 24 % of matches around (72 occasions), Y. Shimizu 17 % (96 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Sakellaridis went on to win 87 % of matches, Y. Shimizu 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Sakellaridis – Y. Shimizu

Who is the favourite between S. Sakellaridis and Y. Shimizu?
The match is over: Y. Shimizu won 2-0. Bookmakers make S. Sakellaridis the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 3.00 for Y. Shimizu. Pronocast's model had S. Sakellaridis winning at 70 %.
When is the S. Sakellaridis – Y. Shimizu match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 08:30, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Sakellaridis and Y. Shimizu?
No meeting between S. Sakellaridis and Y. Shimizu appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Sakellaridis – Y. Shimizu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026