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V. Vacherot vs L. Harris prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
V. VacherotL. Harris
52.2 %47.8 %
Model favourite
V. Vacherot
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · L. Harris

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduRound of 16hard court11:05
V. Vacherot
V. Vacherot
vs
L. Harris
L. Harris
2225
Elo
2168
2091
Elo on hard court
2122
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
2
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.83
Odds
1.97

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

V. Vacherot
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
L. Harris
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
8 – 2
14 – 14
Sets won – lost
19 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
3 wins
20-14 (59%)
2026 record
31-12 (72%)
63-35 (64%)
Record on hard court
96-58 (62%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by V. Vacherot and L. Harris, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

V. Vacherot comes in with an Elo of 2225, against 2168 for L. Harris: a 58-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 31 points in favour of L. Harris. V. Vacherot won 5 of the last ten matches, L. Harris won 8. V. Vacherot has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Harris has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make V. Vacherot the favourite.

The model gave V. Vacherot the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Harris won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

V. Vacherot's last five matches

L. Harris's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is V. Vacherot's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, L. Harris beat K. Miyoshi (6-3 7-5), then A. Galarneau (6-3 7-5), then A. Kovacevic (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, V. Vacherot wins 53 % (56 of 105), L. Harris 43 % (50 of 116). In deciding sets, V. Vacherot wins 59 % of the time (86 matches), L. Harris 61 % (67 matches). After losing the first set, V. Vacherot turned 33 % of matches around (93 occasions), L. Harris 24 % (94 occasions). After winning the first set, V. Vacherot went on to win 86 % of matches, L. Harris 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about V. Vacherot – L. Harris

Who is the favourite between V. Vacherot and L. Harris?
The match is over: L. Harris won 2-0. Bookmakers make V. Vacherot the favourite, priced at 1.83 against 1.97 for L. Harris. Pronocast's model had V. Vacherot winning at 52 %.
When is the V. Vacherot – L. Harris match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 11:05, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between V. Vacherot and L. Harris?
No meeting between V. Vacherot and L. Harris appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for V. Vacherot – L. Harris?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026