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Y. Bu vs K. Majchrzak prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
Y. BuK. Majchrzak
46.5 %53.5 %
Model favourite
K. Majchrzak
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · Y. Bu

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouRound of 16hard court10:20
Y. Bu
Y. Bu
vs
K. Majchrzak
K. Majchrzak
2131
Elo
2167
2045
Elo on hard court
2008
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.08
Odds
1.74

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Bu
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
K. Majchrzak
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 12
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
31-17 (65%)
2026 record
21-20 (51%)
114-75 (60%)
Record on hard court
71-50 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Bu and K. Majchrzak, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Majchrzak comes in with an Elo of 2167, against 2131 for Y. Bu: a 36-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 38 points in favour of Y. Bu. Y. Bu won 5 of the last ten matches, K. Majchrzak won 4. Y. Bu has 3 wins in the last five matches. K. Majchrzak has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make K. Majchrzak the favourite.

The model gave K. Majchrzak the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Bu won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

Y. Bu's last five matches

K. Majchrzak's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Y. Bu beat M. Zheng (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, K. Majchrzak beat M. Bellucci (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Bu wins 45 % (49 of 108), K. Majchrzak 48 % (55 of 114). In deciding sets, Y. Bu wins 47 % of the time (70 matches), K. Majchrzak 56 % (84 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Bu turned 19 % of matches around (94 occasions), K. Majchrzak 24 % (94 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Bu went on to win 81 % of matches, K. Majchrzak 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Bu – K. Majchrzak

Who is the favourite between Y. Bu and K. Majchrzak?
The match is over: Y. Bu won 2-1. Bookmakers make K. Majchrzak the favourite, priced at 1.74 against 2.08 for Y. Bu. Pronocast's model had K. Majchrzak winning at 54 %.
When is the Y. Bu – K. Majchrzak match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 10:20, at the Hangzhou tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Y. Bu and K. Majchrzak?
No meeting between Y. Bu and K. Majchrzak appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Bu – K. Majchrzak?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026