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Y. Hanfmann vs T. Machac prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
Y. HanfmannT. Machac
51.4 %48.6 %
Model favourite
Y. Hanfmann
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · T. Machac

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingQualifyinghard court05:10
Y. Hanfmann
Y. Hanfmann
vs
T. Machac
T. Machac
2187
Elo
2192
2045
Elo on hard court
2112
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.75
Odds
2.02

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Hanfmann
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
T. Machac
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
10 – 16
2 losses
Current streak
4 losses
26-20 (57%)
2026 record
14-12 (54%)
65-64 (50%)
Record on hard court
142-69 (67%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Hanfmann and T. Machac, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2187 against 2192): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 67 points in favour of T. Machac. Y. Hanfmann won 6 of the last ten matches, T. Machac won 4. Y. Hanfmann has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Machac has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make Y. Hanfmann the favourite.

The model gave Y. Hanfmann the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Machac won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

Y. Hanfmann's last five matches

T. Machac's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is Y. Hanfmann's first match of the tournament. This is T. Machac's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Hanfmann wins 44 % (63 of 144), T. Machac 55 % (63 of 114). In deciding sets, Y. Hanfmann wins 59 % of the time (110 matches), T. Machac 58 % (103 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Hanfmann turned 19 % of matches around (165 occasions), T. Machac 26 % (115 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Hanfmann went on to win 87 % of matches, T. Machac 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Hanfmann – T. Machac

Who is the favourite between Y. Hanfmann and T. Machac?
The match is over: T. Machac won 2-1. Bookmakers make Y. Hanfmann the favourite, priced at 1.75 against 2.02 for T. Machac. Pronocast's model had Y. Hanfmann winning at 51 %.
When is the Y. Hanfmann – T. Machac match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 05:10, at the Beijing tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Y. Hanfmann and T. Machac?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Hanfmann – T. Machac?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026